John McCain’s secret strategy
President Sarah Palin? If this sounds as improbable to you as it does to me, we have to ask ourselves why John McCain chose this near neophyte as his running mate.
There’s no doubt he’s made a sensational choice — one dramatic enough to take the spotlight away from Barack Obama during the same 24-hour news cycle that the Democrat had wowed 84,000 people at Denver’s Mile High Stadium.
By today (Saturday), the second thoughts were setting in. The Globe and Mail and the National Post brought their particular slant to the story. More interesting, perhaps, was the response of U.S. papers.
Up in Alaska, the Anchorage Daily News hailed Palin as “The Joan of Arc of Alaska politics.” The New York Post bannered WOW! and the New York Daily News called the new team THE ODD COUPLE. But most papers took the middle road, like the Indianapolis Star with its headline, AN UNLIKELY PICK.
The most intriguing item I could find came from the blogosphere. After reviewing local reaction, Alaska blogger Mudflats had a simple question: “Is this a joke?” Then he passed on a few trenchant comments Ms. Palin gave a week ago on whether she’d accept, if offered, the Veep nomination:
“I’d need to find out what is it exactly that the Vice President does. We want to make sure that that VP slot would be a fruitful type of position, especially for Alaskans and for the things we’re trying to accomplish up here.”
So much for a world view!
McCain’s only hope
John McCain’s real strategy, it seems to me, is circle the wagons, mobilize the Republican right-wing core (who’ve never been warm to him), and hope that the novelty of his bizarre choice will bring in enough Independents to let him squeak to victory.
The more likely outcome is that it will succeed only in saving the Republic party from total collapse. After defeat in November, the core supporters will still be there, ever loyal and ready to fight another day.
Barack Obama, meanwhile, will get the chance to make good on the issues he argues for in his book: get the troops out of Iraq, broaden health care, cut taxes for the middle class, get more kids into college, make sure free trade is fair trade, and be prepared to sit down and talk with adversaries like Iran, North Korea, Cuba and Russia.
John McCain’s choice can be seen in another light: the final and total repudiation of George Bush and evertything he stood for. With Palin at his side, McCain will campaign against the mistakes of the past, promising change for the better. And make no mistake, she’s likely to turn out to be an appealing and attractive campaigner in her own right.
But the choice also lets Obama off the hook on the experience issue. And Ms. Palin’s fierce right-wing Christian conservatism (she’s against abortion even if there’s incest or rape, wants to teach creationism in the schools) isn’t likely to appeal to many of those women who voted for Hillary Clinton.
In the words of Ronald Wright, it’s Backwoods America against Enlightened America. Right now the split is about 50-50. Let’s hope Wright’s metaphor about the USA proves there’s more enlightenment than back woodsism in the American electorate.






